May 2023

Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough To Help Prevent It

Max Kapustin Sara Heller Zubin Jelveh

This National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable.

Related Resources
Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence
Other

Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence

Apr 2025

Crime Lab Pritzker Director Jens Ludwig authored a book that argues the lack of progress in reducing gun violence ultimately stems from our having misunderstood the nature of the problem, and that behavioral science gives us a new way to understand – and solve – gun violence in America.

Local Gun Violence Dashboards
Data Tool

Local Gun Violence Dashboards

Jan 2025

Chicago’s Violence Reduction Dashboard, launched by the Crime Lab in 2021, is featured in a toolkit created by Everytown for Gun Safety Support Fund as a part of its Gun Violence Data Fellowship.

Valuing the benefits of reducing firearm violence in the United States
Academic Paper

Valuing the benefits of reducing firearm violence in the United States

Jan 2025

This paper estimates the monetized value of the impact of reducing firearm violence and how that value is distributed across the population.

IL Office of Firearm Violence Prevention
Data Tool

IL Office of Firearm Violence Prevention

Jul 2024

The University of Chicago Crime Lab has partnered with the Illinois Office of Firearm Violence Prevention (OFVP) in support of the OFVP’s goal to use data to focus resources. The Crime Lab prepared the following interactive map to support the RPSA Youth Development Services grantmaking process.

Latest Updates

How a study in the Stockholm subway could help prevent violent crime
Op-Ed
New Scientist
May 2025

How a study in the Stockholm subway could help prevent violent crime

We need to learn the lessons from an ingenious piece of research done in Sweden and radically change policies around interpersonal violence, says UChicago Crime Lab director Jens Ludwig.

‘Definitely a cause for hope’ UChicago economist says of new book on causes of gun violence
Op-Ed
WBEZ Chicago
May 2025

‘Definitely a cause for hope’ UChicago economist says of new book on causes of gun violence

America has a fundamental misunderstanding of what drives gun violence, and it’s prevented us from solving the problem. That’s according to the new book “Unforgiving Places”, by University of Chicago economist and Crime Lab director Jens Ludwig.

Understanding Gun Violence in America
Q&A
Economics Applied
May 2025

Understanding Gun Violence in America

Steve Davies and Jens Ludwig discuss why America has so many gun deaths, how traditional narratives fail to explain most gun violence, and why past policies failed to reduce the deadly toll. Ludwig speaks about his new book, grounded in evidence and behavioral insights to further explain gun violence.