May 2023

Machine Learning Can Predict Shooting Victimization Well Enough To Help Prevent It

Max Kapustin Sara Heller Zubin Jelveh

This National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper shows that shootings are predictable enough to be preventable.

Related Resources
IL Office of Firearm Violence Prevention
Interactive Map

IL Office of Firearm Violence Prevention

Jul 2024

The University of Chicago Crime Lab has partnered with the Illinois Office of Firearm Violence Prevention (OFVP) in support of the OFVP’s goal to use data to focus resources. The Crime Lab prepared the following interactive map to support the RPSA Youth Development Services grantmaking process.

United States Surgeon General’s Advisory on Firearm Violence in America
Advisory

United States Surgeon General’s Advisory on Firearm Violence in America

Jun 2024

United States Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy issued a landmark advisory declaring firearm violence in America to be a public health crisis with devastating and far-reaching consequences for the nation’s health and well-being.

Summer Safety Analysis: Chicago Crime Trends
Presentation

Summer Safety Analysis: Chicago Crime Trends

May 2024

These data visualizations present our summer safety analysis on Chicago crime trends.

2024 End-of-Year Analysis: Chicago Crime Trends
Presentation

2024 End-of-Year Analysis: Chicago Crime Trends

Dec 2024

Gun violence remains one of the most pressing challenges in America but there are signs of progress.

Latest Updates

What new tactic Knoxville police and city officials say helped reduce shootings in 2024
Media Mention
Knoxville News Sentinel
Jan 2025

What new tactic Knoxville police and city officials say helped reduce shootings in 2024

The Knoxville News Sentinel’s Myron Thompson cites a Crime Lab study showing that streets with more lighting see a decline in crime.

Chicago violence: City sees fewer than 600 murders in 2024 for 1st time since 2019; shootings, carjackings also down
Media Mention
ABC7
Jan 2025

Chicago violence: City sees fewer than 600 murders in 2024 for 1st time since 2019; shootings, carjackings also down

ABC 7’s Craig Wall covers the Crime Lab’s year-end analysis of crime trends in Chicago showing that despite encouraging signs of progress, Black Chicagoans are still 20 times more likely than their white counterparts to be killed by a gun or to be a victim of a homicide.

Maintaining violent crime decline is Chicago’s evergreen resolution
Media Mention
Chicago Sun Times
Jan 2025

Maintaining violent crime decline is Chicago’s evergreen resolution

The Chicago Sun-Times Editorial Board provides commentary on the promising declines in violence from the Crime Lab’s end-of-year analysis and the need for continued support for successful violence prevention programs.